Scattering of more recent polls mostly good news for Obama

Pew Poll (nationally)

Obama 49%
Clinton 39%
Undecided 12%

Insider Advantage Poll - North Carolina primary

Obama 49%
Clinton 34%
Undecided 17%

Gallup Poll (nationally)

Obama 48%
Clinton 44%
Undecided 8%

Rasmussen Poll (nationally)

Clinton 46%
Obama 44%
Undecided 10%

NBC/ WSJ Poll (nationally)

Obama 45%
Clinton 45%
Undecided 10%

MATCH-UPS against McCain

NBC/ WSJ Poll

Obama 44/ McCain 42
McCain 46/ Clinton 44

Quinnipiac poll

Obama would win CT by 17 points
Hillary would win CT by 3 points

Rasmussen Poll

Obama would win OR by 6 points
Clinton would lose OR by 6 points

PPIC Poll

Obama would win CA by 9 points
Clinton would win CA by 3 points

Rasmussen - nationally

Obama would lose by 1 point
Clinton would lose by 3 points

Gallup - nationally

Obama would lose by 2 points
Clinton would lose by 3 points

And according to that NBC/WSJ poll, the Wright controversy seems to have mainly had this effect. He only went down two points in terms of people with a positive opinion of him, from 51 to 49. The people with a negative opinion of him went up from 28 to 32.

The real shocker was that in that same poll, Hillary's positive rankings took a nose dive, from 45 to 37, and her negatives went up from 43 to 48. So the positive/ negative numbers for the two candidates are now:

Obama 49/32
Clinton 37/48

I was very surprised by this. The consensus seems to be that this is due to her selective memory on Bosnia, but it still seems strange that a relatively minor event would cause such a huge change. I wonder if this has anything to do with the fact that most people now realize that the only way that Clinton can win is to have superdelegates 'overturn' or 'reverse' the decision of the pledged delegates. Or, in other words, that Obama's pledged delegate lead is insurmountable and that the gap in numbers will probably be the same a month from now as it is today. I just think that most voters don't want this nomination to be decided in that way.

I think that unless Clinton does much better than expected on April 22nd and May 6th, she'll drop out. Maybe she'll go through to Puerto Rico. And if something happens and she starts picking up big wins, all bets are off. But if things go as expected, there will come a time when there's just no point in continuing.

I just want to reiterate again that this is not some kind of personal animus against Hillary, and I realize that Obama does not have a huge mandate, but with the system we've got at the moment, the math just doesn't work for Hillary, and dem's the facts.