Wednesday, November 08, 2006

Tester likely to win in Montana

With 99% of precincts reporting, Tester had 190,486 votes to Burns' 188,900. THat's a lead of 1586 votes. One percent of 379,386 is 3794 votes. Burns would have to take over 70% of the votes there, using this rough method of approximation, to win the race.
Yellowstone County, which is home to Billings and 129,352 residents, however, could be more of an influence than that. Even if only 40,000 of them voted (presuming these were not factored into the numbers above), it could make a big difference.

Their website actually shows that 59,196 voted in Yellowstone county.
THey have now posted that Burns has taken 29,203 votes there, and Tester has taken 27,981. That is 1222 votes, and not enough to put Burns over the top. I don't know if there are still any other counties outstanding, but this bodes well for Tester.

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