GOP close the gap; Sabato addresses the issue

The media is all abuzz about the GOP tightening their poll numbers - is it due to John Kerry's gaffe, Saddam Hussein's death sentence, Bush's red-state appearances, or the GOP much-lauded Get Out the Vote operation? Probably a little of each. I think it was inevitable that they would shore up their base. What is more worrying is that the Dem lead among independents has narrowed. Larry Sabato takes a look at the races with all of this in mind, but still figures that Dems will take 4-6 Senate seats, 232 House Seats to 203 for GOP, and 29 governorships.

The real unknown is to what extent the Dems investment in a better GOTV strategy across the 50 States will make a difference. Watch this space.