Monday, November 06, 2006

New Gallup Poll results

(+/-4 Margin of Error)

MISSOURI SENATE LIKELY VOTERS
MCCASKILL 49 TALENT 45

MONTANA SENATE LIKELY VOTERS
TESTER 50 BURNS 41

NEW JERSEY LV
MENENDEZ 50 KEAN 40

RHODE ISLAND LV
WHITEHOUSE 48 CHAFEE 45

TENNESSEE LV
CORKER 49 FORD 46

VIRGINIA LV
ALLEN 49 WEBB 46

Four out of six are within the margin of error.

If you take these at face value, though, you are looking at the Democrats holding onto New Jersey and taking over in Missouri, Montana and Rhode Island. When combined with likely takeovers in Ohio and Pennsylvania, that would make for a 50/50 Senate. According to this, Repub's will hold on in Virginia and Tennessee.

I think in reality there is still a chance that Burns will hold on, and given the monkeys on his back that's pretty impressive. There is also a chance that Chafee will survive. Allen has been like a sinking stone and there is a good chance Webb will prevail tomorrow in Virginia. Wait and see.

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