Last minute polls show McCaskill up in Missouri

Survey USA, released yesterday, has McCaskill at 50%, Talent at 44%. Somehow, a second poll from the same company has McCaskill ahead by an even greater margin, 5-% to 42%. A Polimetrix poll released yesterday has them tied on 50% each. A Gallup poll out yesterday had McCaskill at 49%, Talent at 45%, but a Rasmussen poll had Talent ahead by one, 49-48.

Survey USA has Webb ahead in Virginia, 52% to 44%, while Polimetrix has them tied at 50-50. Rasmussen had them tied, 49-49.

All the polls now have Corker beating Ford in Tennessee by between 3 and 5 points. The gay marriage ballot initiative in Tennessee is likely to nail Ford's coffin (but I do think we haven't seen the last of him!). By the same token, the stem cell initiative in Missouri is likely to give McCaskill the surge she needs.

The largely unreported story on ballot initiatives is the minimum wage. It is extremely popular across the country but Republicans are opposed to raising the minimum wage. It is bound to bring Dems to the polls in states where they can really use the support, affecting Senate races in Missouri, Montana, Ohio, and helping them secure governorships and/or representatives in Arizona, Colorado and Nevada.

Watch and see...