Thursday, March 06, 2008

Pledged delegates

Let's talk about pledged delegates. It's virtually impossible for Clinton to win on these. Her best chance is to narrow that gap, take the popular vote lead nationwide, seat the Michigan and Florida delegates any way she can, and hope to convince enough superdelegates to come to her side. To reiterate: it is virtually impossible for Hillary to get the nomination without superdelegates reversing an almost inevitable Obama lead in pledged, ie., elected, delegates.

THis from Slate:

"We've updated our calculator to take last night's results into account, and the news isn't good for Clinton. To catch Barack Obama in pledged delegates, she now needs an average margin of victory of 23 points."


TO put that in perspective, Hillary's big Ohio win was by 10 points.

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