How big is Obama's popular vote lead?

NOT INCLUDING FLORIDA AND MICHIGAN:

598,266

INCLUDING FLORIDA:

303,494

INCLUDING FLORIDA AND MICHIGAN (i.e., no votes in Mich. for Obama):

24,657

But this last number is unlikely, as even in the worst scenario for Obama, the 40% non-Hillary votes in Michigan would probably be allocated to him.

Let's compare this to some numbers from this Tuesday:

Hillary's 10-point lead in Ohio produced these numbers:
229,873

Hillary's 3-point lead in Texas produced these numbers:
98,467

Hillary clearly has opportunities to narrow the gap in the popular vote, which isn't that big anymore, but she'll need some more blowouts of the scale of Ohio if she wants to do that. Her best options would be Pennsylvania and a do-over of Florida. She has a good chance of winning in West Virginia and Kentucky, but is unlikely to get those kinds of numbers there. Furthermore, Obama will probably increase his popular vote lead in the contests in Mississippi, Oregon and North Carolina.

Prepare for the national campaign between HRC and BHO to get a lot more negative.

The leaker of the Canadian NAFTA-gate story has been exposed now, and it turns out that he was actually more critical of the Clinton campaign than Obama. Prepare to see Obama try to use this on Hillary to gain traction in Western Pennsylvania, which is like Ohio in many ways.

We'll keep you posted here.