Thursday, March 24, 2005

Novak worries about 06

Bob Novak, a man reviled as the outer of Valerie Plame, but certainly one with connections in the GOP, claims that Republicans are worried that they could lose control of the house for the first time since 1994.

"Analysts at the Republican National Committee have sent this warning to the House of Representatives: The party is in danger of losing 25 seats in the 2006 election and, therefore, of losing control of the House for the first time since the 1994 election."

http://www.suntimes.com/output/novak/
cst-edt-novak201.html

See also what Kos has to say:
http://www.dailykos.com/section/Elections_2006

Given their lackluster poll numbers (see below), they may have reason to worry.

Personally, I think that the Dems will make serious gains in narrowing the gap to near-equity in both the house and senate in 2006, but will probably not retake control. A lot can happen in 18 months, and Americans prefer a balance of powers to the virtual one-party state we have going on now.

I do predict, however, that the Dems will take 2 out of 3 in 2008: House, Senate, Presidency, as there is a general pendulum swing towards the center and a sense of inevitability about the end of the Bushening emerges...

What do you think? Any predictions?

2 Comments:

Blogger Matthew said...

By the way, Dems need 16 new seats in the house in 2006 to retake control. 15 seats would result in a 217-217 tie.

12:39 PM  
Blogger Matthew said...

Now that religious social conservatives are at the helm, get ready for traditional libertarian/ fiscal conservatives to recoil in horror. Schiavo is only the beginning. The left is aching for the upcoming schism, though it remains unclear if and when it will come. The traditional libertarian conservatives, I think, are tiring of the 'liberals are Saddam's foot soldiers' bullshit and the phony culture war sideshow. Bottom line: economically, Bush is a disaster. Hilary will come around in 2008 with exactly the same message her husband used against Bush I: forget about school prayer, forget about the 'right to life' - can you afford medical insurance? can you put food on your family? Believe me, after three more years of this bs., the country will be listening loud and clear.

1:00 PM  

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