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ON election night, we see results come in from the EST time zone first. This will be a test for how the Dems' turnout operation works.

If Obama wins Virginia and New Hampshire, it's a very good sign. If he wins Florida too, there is no way the Repub's can eke out a victory. That's because even if they take Ohio, Michigan, New Mexico, Iowa, Colorado and Nevada, they still lose. Virginia plus Florida would equal an electoral lock for the Dems, but more likely it would signal that the impressive ground game operation is working, and could perhaps be a harbinger of electoral landslide.

If the GOP takes New Hampshire and Virginia, then the Dems will have to really hope their Western strategy works.