NINE IN A ROW
Let's look at the margins of victory for Obama in the states he won on Super Tuesday and in the nine contests since then. The old thinking was that Obama was able to dominate in caucus settings, but this shows that he can win in primaries in states that were supposed to be a close finish with Hillary Clinton, like Virginia and Wisconsin. Check it out.
It's ten in a row when you include the U.S. Virgin Islands.
FEBRUARY 19TH
Wisconsin (primary) - 17% margin of victory
Hawaii (caucus) - 52% margin of victory
FEBRUARY 12TH
Virginia (P) - 29%
District of Columbia (P) - 51%
Maryland (P) - 27%
FEBRUARY 10TH
Maine (C) - 19%
FEBRUARY 9TH
Louisiana (P) - 21%
Nebraska (C) - 36%
Washington (C) - 3%
FEBRUARY 5TH (of the states Obama won)
Alabama (P) - 14%
Alaska (C) - 49%
Colorado (C) - 35%
Connecticut (P) - 4%
Delaware (P) - 11%
Georgia (P) - 35%
Idaho (C) - 63%
Illinois (P) - 32%
Kansas (C) - 48%
Minnesota (C) - 44%
Missouri (P) - 1%
North Dakota (C) - 24%
Utah (C) - 18%
OF all the states since Super Tuesday, i.e., the 9 in a row that Obama has won, five have been primaries and four have been caucuses. The average margin of victory in these primaries has been 29%. The average margin of victory in the caucuses has been 27.5%. Interesting stuff.
It's ten in a row when you include the U.S. Virgin Islands.
FEBRUARY 19TH
Wisconsin (primary) - 17% margin of victory
Hawaii (caucus) - 52% margin of victory
FEBRUARY 12TH
Virginia (P) - 29%
District of Columbia (P) - 51%
Maryland (P) - 27%
FEBRUARY 10TH
Maine (C) - 19%
FEBRUARY 9TH
Louisiana (P) - 21%
Nebraska (C) - 36%
Washington (C) - 3%
FEBRUARY 5TH (of the states Obama won)
Alabama (P) - 14%
Alaska (C) - 49%
Colorado (C) - 35%
Connecticut (P) - 4%
Delaware (P) - 11%
Georgia (P) - 35%
Idaho (C) - 63%
Illinois (P) - 32%
Kansas (C) - 48%
Minnesota (C) - 44%
Missouri (P) - 1%
North Dakota (C) - 24%
Utah (C) - 18%
OF all the states since Super Tuesday, i.e., the 9 in a row that Obama has won, five have been primaries and four have been caucuses. The average margin of victory in these primaries has been 29%. The average margin of victory in the caucuses has been 27.5%. Interesting stuff.
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